Hey Trav,

Based on what I remember from last year, I believe the max is 30-35 km/h. Fred, correct me if I'm wrong. Looking forward to tonights show. However, the music doesn't look very promising. I might be wrong, though.

Dan

Hi Dan,

Thanks for the limitations on wind speeds. It seems reasonable, but tonight's gusts proved to be quite superior.

As for the music choice, it was quite enjoyable, especially in this type of approach, but some of the rhythm variations felt repetitive while the "Don't cry for me Argentina" soundtrack playing more than once was a little weird. Synchronization wasn't all the greatest either.

Trav.

The max wind speed is 40 km/hr, and the bombs are all covered with aluminum foil and plastic sheets, although sometimes water does manage to get in.

Hi guys,

Saturday is looking fabulous with mainly sunny skies, thanks to high pressure, and very warm temperatures. I think there will be humidity and moisture flooding back in since we're going to get a return flow from the Southwest. Temperatures will most likely cross the 30 Celsius barrier as they will for the coming week (for now). Winds shouldn't be a problem like they were for Argentina, but I hope for a slightly stronger wind to clear out the smoke effectivley, especially if there is moisture. This could be the warmest fireworks night.

And thank you, locker, for the wind specifications, but usually with anywhere between a predominant 30-40 km/h wind, I still believe the fireworks would be dangerous to fire since these types of winds are typically accompanied by stronger gusts ranging towards 60 km/h.

Trav.

Weather is simply fantastic with very warm conditions staying at 27-28 Celsius under mainly clear skies. There is also some humidity, which will make it feel like 32-33 Celsius, or possibly more since we're near the city.

My fears of wind speeds (being too slow) have subsided while we have a nice Southwest wind at 15-20 km/h, though the winds were breezy when I was at the parade in downtown a couple of hours ago. Moisture levels are moderate, so it will feel humid.

In summary, we're in for a perfect Summer's evening for this new country. Once again, all courtesy to high pressure. Heck, there's nothing much for me to comment on or to look out for besides the impeccable heat that we'll see today and throughout most of the week!

Enjoy!

Trav.

A little worrisome conditions are being reported by MétéoMedia for tomorrow night. There's a 70% chances of rain precipitation, which is a bit too high.

However, they're also reporting that it might stop by 9pm. Anyways, I'll keep on a eye on this.

Tomorrow night will be humid, but there are possible rains with a 60-70% chance. The reasons are practically to do with a well organized low pressure system coming from the Southwest from Southern and Eastern Ontario whilst travelling along the highway 401 corridor.

The track is understood, but it is showing signs of additionally moving in an extreme Southwest flow, but also with a distinctive Westerly tilt. I, too, have to watch this very carefully since it is rather ubiquitous. The rains may arrive later in the afternoon, especially since they will arrive in Kingston in the morning hours.

In any case, there are several implications at work here. First, it will be humid and there could be sunny breaks, which serves as a catalyst. However, sunny breaks help develop convective clouds, so we need to pay attention to that. Second, the system is quite massive on satellite and has some decent cloud top heights, which suggests embedded thunderstorms and thus copious amounts of rainfall, should they happen. Finally, this system carries a lot of moisture with it and this helps fuel the amounts of rainfall within actual clouds.

However, I believe Montreal and Ottawa will be on the edge of the whole thing, but moreso in the afternoon, so I suspect more of an overcast scenario, but there is still a chance for showers or steadier rains.

On a smaller scale, the winds will be from the East at 10-20 km/h (or higher) while temperatures will be warm and sticky at 24-26 Celsius, but feeling like 30-31 C with the humidex.

Regardless of the changes, I sincerely recommend that you all bring an umbrella. I also wouldn't be surprised if there is a little lightning here and there (kind of like yesterday's late afternoon). The more bad news with this is that it is more likely to have "possible" steadier rains in the evening-overnight hours, so this could actually be a wash-out display...that is, until I get further reports.

I've actually noticed this system since almost a week ago, but I knew it could present problems.

Trav.

If we are going to get rain tonight, it would be the first show under water since the Kimbolton's one in 2003.

Not particularly happy about that...



Fred

I don't think we should really worry that much. It appears to me that it's actually a weak part of the system that will affect us.

I was checking CNN's radar and it does seems to be directed this way, but if we get anything, it will only be light rain with a few beaks.

And according to MétéoMédia's website, the "biggest" rainfall will come between 8pm and 9pm, and after 10pm, things will get better.

We'll definitely be affected by the system, but we should be glad that it's nothing serious (well, hopefully).

The system itself is losing its punch as it moves East Northeast, but I think it is moving in a more Easterly fashion giving us an escape possibility as it moves more over New York and skimming the Eastern Townships of Quebec.

As Enkil said, I don't think it will be much of an event according to my sources and my perception and knowledge of the entire low since we may have more or less an overcast scenario. However, despite the fact that we won't see things as copious as what Southern and Eastern Ontario witnessed, we still nay get some moderate rains. Indeed, I think most of the rains will be in the form of light rain showers while will be possibly making their biggest appearance between 8 to possibly 10 p.m. I wouldn't take out any chances, so please bring your umbrellas with you.

Winds are still constant between 10-20 km/h from the East and South east with a 70% chance of precipitation. I'll have a few more reports as I get more information from TWN.

Trav.

Hi guys,

I'm rather happy to tell you that tomorrow night will be the hottest and most humid night so far with temperatures staying steady at 29-33 Celsius but feeling like the low 40s! Winds will be from the Southwest (obviously) at 10-15 km/h.

However, there is the possibility of heavy thunderstorms throughout the day because of the passage of a weak cold front that will move through as the day progresses. Because the gradient is strong between the hot humid air mass and the cooler air behind the actual front, storms can develop because of stronger enhanced convection.

Nevertheless, with the nature of storms, the idea is stochastic, so it's either you get them or you don't. Tomorrow maybe sort of a gamble, but if we do get thunderstorms firing up in the day, expect copious amounts of rainfall, depending on your location.

I'll keep an eye on the frontal movement, but it's important to look at radar and satellite imagery for either the actual cloud tops or the intensity of the embedded cells following the front.

I'll keep you all posted as often as I can, but you may hear grumbles of thunder throughout the day, even in the morning. Only right for the Canadian show! I believe this firm had some tough luck with the weather in 1998.

Trav.

Hi guys,

We should be alright for tomorrow evening (20% chance of anything), but I wouldn't rule out the chance of storms completely. I'm going to play it safe and bring an umbrella. However, regardless, it will be hot and sticky with temperatures staying between 28-30 Celsius, even at that hour. It may feel even warmer because we're in an urban area. The dewpoints will be high, so it will feel like 36 Celsius+ (my kind of weather). Winds will be light at 10-15 km/h, so hopefully the smoke will move away quickly.

Other than that, we should be alright, but pay special attention to cloud formations tomorrow; it will be wonderful to watch those clouds swell up! Should they happen, some storms could be potent, so beware.

Trav.

Well, as I thought, the risk of storms still remains for this evening with a 40% chance. All of this still has to do with that cold front, but the humidex values and temperature and wind speeds/directions are still constant.

Just remember that this a chance, not a guarantee. And just because it's 40%, doesn't mean it won't happen, so be sure to bring your umbrellas and to listen for updates prior to the show, that is, if you can. Storms are very well possible throughout the day as well. A storm synopsis suggests that we could see some stronger storms, too.

Oh yes, this cold front will not break away the stagnant humidity since it isn't a strong one.

So, enjoy the heat!!!

Trav.

Well guys, a perfect summer's evening for this display with temperatures staying at 25-27 Celsius with a little humidity. In all, a comfortable evening with light winds from the Southeast and clear skies.

Not too much for me to comment on for today.

Trav.

Guys,

We may have a problem for tomorrow evening since an area of low pressure is slowly advancing this way bring rains (90%) and possible embedded thunderstorms for tomorrow evening. Rains could be quite copious, too. Winds will be from the Northwest at 10-15 km/h while moisture levels will be moderate.

There could be some standard deviation, so I'll keep you all posted as the system approaches. Who knows, perhaps we'll be spared at 10:00-10:30 p.m.

Trav.